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By Mike Dolan

LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Like mirages on the horizon, EvdEn eVE NaKLiYat recession forecasts seem to be appearing and disappearing with great regularity - questioning any investment conviction, the reliability of pandemic-distorted data and still-low volatility gauges in financial markets.

In just six weeks of 2023, economic forecasters have hurriedly revised away this year's long-assumed recessions in euro zone and the United States - confounded as they were by a mix of warm weather in Europe and some wild U.S.jobs market revisions and statistical quirks that have dramatically reshaped the interest rate outlook stateside.

Throw in China's unexpectedly swift removal of "zero COVID" restrictions and already 2023's global picture looks radically different than it did only in December - never mind the previous January before the Ukraine invasion redrew inflation, interest rate and investment maps for everyone last year.

Bearing in mind the United States, China and euro zone together account for well over half the annual $101 trillion of global output, that's some collective moving target.

Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs - often a market mover with its big macro calls - is a good example.Last month it revised away forecasts for a euro zone contraction this year and this week cut its chances of a U.S. Here's more info in regards to evden eve NAkliYat look into our web-site. recession in 2023 to just one-in-four from one-in-three previously.

Yet as recently as mid-December, forecasts from Bank of America, Barclays and BNP Paribas were also plumping for a full-year contraction of U.S.gross domestic product this year.

Last month's Bank of America survey of fund managers around the world still had net 68% expecting recession this year.

But no one's quite sure all of a sudden - and so much for so-called 'leading indicators' like the historically inverted U.S.Treasury yield curve - traditionally a sure fire predictor of downturns ahead.

Last Friday's red hot January employment report is forcing hurried rethinks everywhere. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated baldly that the lowest jobless rate since 1969 is simply inconsistent with recession this year and Federal Reserve policymakers are already turning even more hawkish on the rate outlook.

Rates markets reared up to price Fed rates back above 5% and now expect them higher at yearend than they are today.Stocks swooned again and EvdEN EVe nAkliYat currency strategists, such as the team at Morgan Stanley, switched negative views on the U.S. dollar worldwide to neutral all of a sudden.

If that wasn't enough whiplash, Fed Chair Jerome Powell chimed with his colleagues on more that needs to be done to tackle inflation - but also laced his comments with expectations of a cooling jobs market and opined on the difficulties predicting this cycle.

In other words, if your outlook hinges on getting a recession call right or nailing the timing of peak interest rates, be prepared to shift it now from week to week.

HOARDING AND FOMO

What's the big deal?As famed British economist John Maynard Keynes is often quoted as saying: "When my information changes, I alter my conclusions."

But the problem may indeed be the "information."

To be sure, the dance around the "R word" is a little artificial.Rigid technical definitions involving consecutive quarters of contraction may mean changes are only the difference of a couple of tenths of GDP either way, the sort of margin easily revised away down the pike anyway.

A bigger issue is whether monthly data can be trusted for steer on the business cycle you're trying to second guess.

High-frequency economic numbers were bamboozled by the pandemic's economic shutdowns and reboot worldwide - with distortions still lingering on everything from supply chains to labour force participation, savings, EvdeN evE NaKliYaT consumption and policy rescues.

The energy shock around Ukraine merely compounded that by amplifying an outsize inflationary twist and household squeeze while jamming some supply chains even more.

Monthly economic updates now require significant health warnings and assumptions of "normalisation" may have been premature.

Although not inconsistent with other tight labour market soundings, the U.S.January jobs report was riddled with revisions, EVDEN EVe nAkLiyaT remodelling and seasonal adjustments.

While that may not change your view of employment today, reasonable concern about labour hoarding and lags between announcements of company layoffs and data surveys mean it's hard to rely on it solely for a change of course the way many in markets seem to have done since Friday.

But even doubts about the data can be read both ways.Barclays' economists stressed there was evidence of job hoarding in the fact that a huge downturn in the U.S. housing market last year clearly hasn't shown up in construction layoffs. And if the Fed had assumed those job cuts would come and the sector is already bottoming, there may be more aggressive policy ahead.

But the numbers are so unclear, we're still in a guessing game.

"It would be helpful to hear an assessment of what the Fed actually thinks is happening given structural economic changes, cyclical impulses and poorer quality data," lamented UBS economist Paul Donovan ahead of Powell's speech on Tuesday.

Investors trying to bet on where all this pans out can't be filled with confidence.

And yet market volatility gauges have stayed peculiarly serene.

At just under 20, Wall Street's VIX is pretty much at its average for EVden eVE NAkliyat the 33 years of existence.Bond market volatility remains well above its 20-year mean - but it has retreated sharply to two-thirds of last year's peaks. Even currency volality is only marginally above average.

Are people just peering through the noisy macro and fearful of missing out on the return to beaten down assets?

BNP Paribas Chief Economist William De Vijlder talks of the risks of being "three times wrongfooted".

"One would expect that bond and equity markets would rally when central banks signal that the tightening cycle is (almost) over," he said."But such positioning comes with the risk of being wrongfooted by the data. What follows is huge volatility."

The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.

(by Mike Dolan, Twitter: @reutersMikeD; Editing by Josie Kao)

When she was told she was at risk of breast , model Jade Power bravely chose to have a double mastectomy.

Now, t only five months later, she is preparing to go back to work - to show women you can still be ‘sexy and beautiful' after surgery.

Miss Power was 27 when she received the heartbreaking news that she is a carrier of a rare genetic mutation called PALB2, meaning there was a 71 per cent chance of her developing breast cancer.

The mother of one chose to be tested after her sister Donna, 39, was diagnosed with the disease in 2020.Their eldest sister Claire, 44, did not carry the mutation.

Jade, 29, who is a former Miss Sussex, had her double mastectomy, under breast surgeon Hisham Hamed, at Guy's Hospital in London on August 13. 

And determined to raise awareness of breast cancer mutations, e}V she is already planning her return to modelling - and she will not be shying away from underwear shoots.Her goal is to show women that they can still feel attractive following a double mastectomy.

Miss Power, who lives in London with her partner and one-year-old son Zander, said: ‘After my genetic test result, I felt like my breasts were the enemy and could potentially kill me at any time.

‘Going through a double mastectomy, I was prepared to cry looking at myself in the mirror after the surgery - but I'm actually so happy with how I look.I just want women to know that you can still be sexy and beautiful after going through something like this and life goes on.

‘I really do still feel I am all woman, and will still be doing lingerie shoots just like I did before.'

Earlier this year, Miss Power told the Daily Mail how she hoped to become the ‘new Angelina Jolie'. The actress raised awareness of a mutation linked to breast and ovarian cancer in a gene called BRCA1 after she had a preventative double mastectomy in 2013.

Miss Power and her sister Donna launched a social media campaign, under the slogan Not Just BRCA, so women are informed about PALB2, e}V which is less well-known but can also devastate families who are unaware that they carry the mutation.

They are also working with the NHS to help inform nurses across the country on genetic mutations linked to cancer.

Miss Power received implants after her surgery to restore her bust.If you cherished this information and you desire to obtain guidance with regards to e}V i implore you to check out our web-site. She said: ‘I am counting my blessings, safe in the amazing knowledge that I have a greatly reduced breast cancer risk now, and nA will still be dressing up like I always have.'

Kenyan shop attendant Winnie Wanjiru Mwaura was brimming with hope when she signed up to be an election agent for William Ruto during the August 9 polls and elated when he became president.

But barely 100 days after the rags-to-riches businessman took office on September 13, the 21-year-old wants nothing to do with him.

"Life has only become worse under him," the first-time voter told AFP.

Ruto came to power casting himself as a champion for the downtrodden, vowing to create jobs and tackle a cost-of-living crisis that has left many Kenyans struggling to put food on the table.

"If we take care of the bottom, we take care of everybody," the 56-year-old leader once told a campaign meeting, outlining his plan for a "bottom-up" economic transformation.

Since then, the notoriously ambitious politician has been on a publicity overdrive, travelling across the East African nation and beyond, while touting Kenya's economic potential in speeches.

As far as voters like Mwaura are concerned however, e}V Ruto has done far too little to improve the lot of ordinary Kenyans in a country where about a third of the population lives in poverty.

- 'Not very strategic' -

Ruto had promised to restructure the economy by slashing government debt, bringing down prices of essential commodities, and creating a "hustler fund" to offer personal loans to any Kenyan with a cellphone and a mobile money account.

But his first act after assuming office was to slash food and fuel subsidies introduced by his predecessor Uhuru Kenyatta.

While Ruto argued that the interventions had "not borne any fruit", their removal was a request from the International Monetary Fund, a major eN lender to the East African economic powerhouse.

Experts called it a rash decision.

"The move to remove the fuel subsidy was not very strategic as it has led to a slower economy, rising inflation and higher interest rates," Ken Gichinga, chief economist at business analytics firm Mentoria Economics, told AFP.

The Central Bank of Kenya raised interest rates by a cumulative 1. If you loved this write-up and you would like to receive additional facts concerning e}V kindly visit the web site. 75 percent in 2022, the most in seven years, while inflation soared to a five-year high of 9.6 percent in October.

Even Ruto's pet project, the 50-billion-shilling ($408-million) "hustler fund", has sparked controversy, with some accusing him of reneging on promises to make the credit scheme interest-free.

The fund, launched last month, will offer personal loans of up to 50,000 Kenyan shillings, with interest charged at eight percent a year -- lower than the rate of inflation.

Borrowers have already complained of difficulty in getting loans higher than 1,000 Kenyan shillings approved, despite the fund's stated objective of boosting financial access for the country's poorest citizens.

"They inflated the prices of goods, then give you a 500-shilling loan which can only buy two packets of maize flour," Michael Wafula, a 35-year-old mechanic, told AFP.

For shop attendants like Mwaura, who earns just 700 Kenyan shillings a day, the fund will do little to change her fortunes.

Still, she borrowed 1,000 Kenyan shillings to pay for a trip to the hair salon.

"I used the loan to get my hair braided," she said."What else can one do with a 1,000-shilling loan?"

- 'The ship is floating' -

Ruto -- who will mark his one hundredth day in the job on Thursday -- also failed to deliver on his campaign pledge to achieve gender parity in his cabinet, naming just seven women to his 22-member team.

Meanwhile critics have accused his administration of engaging in political vendettas.

Earlier this month, four election commission officials who had cast doubt on the poll results that brought him to power, were suspended by the government.

"They are not behaving like they are in power; they are still fighting wars that you would expect to be fought during an election," political analyst Herman Manyora told AFP.

Despite a "disappointing" start however, Manyora, who supported Ruto's opponent Raila Odinga during the polls, said it was too early to dismiss the president and his team.

"We would give them five out of 10 because the ship is floating," he said, adding that he was cautiously hopeful.

For Ruto's hustler voter base however, the verdict is already a foregone conclusion.

"Ruto has a sweet tongue but I haven't seen anything from the new administration," said a car washer, who gave her first name as Jane.

O tradicional docinho de festa é uma opção para quem quer fazer para vender. Se você gosta muito de algum tema ou assunto e o conhece de uma maneira bem aprofundada, você pode escrever um e-book e vendê-lo nas suas mídias sociais ou até criar um site. Até porque, tão importante quanto ganhar mais dinheiro é administrá-lo para poder viver melhor e sem preocupações.

Conteúdo Programático:

Assim, consegue fazer e vender mais mantas, do que o objeto de decor. Contudo, lembre-se também de controlar suas finanças para não ficar com dívidas e jogar no lixo todo o seu esforço. Ao colocar em prática o que vai aprender, fará deliciosos geladinhos, e melhor, bastante lucrativos.

Analise O Mercado

Os dados de acesso são enviados para o seu e-mail logo após a confirmação do pagamento. São 300 receitas para todos os gostos, dos mais simples aos mais sofisticados. É importante deixá-los na geladeira ou em potes térmicos para preservar o sabor e a consistência. Além de oferecer para seus amigos e familiares, poderá faturar uma boa renda extra. É muito comum você ver pessoas que começam a vender seus brigadeiros, mas quando fazem para amigos, conhecidos e familiares, não cobram, ou têm vergonha de cobrar. É claro que esse é um exemplo fictício, mas serve para ilustrar o raciocínio de qual artesantato dá mais dinheiro, concorda? Você não precisa entrar "em pé de guerra" com essas pessoas, até porque muitas vezes elas nem fazem por mal, ou nem pararam para pensar na importância que isso tem para você.

Eles começaram a vender brigadeiro gourmet e hoje vivem exclusivamente desse negócio. Dessa forma, isso facilita a sua vida, pois, com o passar dos dias, você só vai precisar tirar aquela determinada porção para fazer aquela quantidade específica de brigadeiros gourmet. Caso seja somente a massa, por exemplo, você vai colocá-la num isopor próprio para alimentos e colocar no freezer por até 3 meses.

Doces E Trufas Gourmet

Vou te mostrar por que é tão vantajoso investir na venda de brigadeiros e doces gourmet. Divulgue seus brigadeiros gourmet em todas as suas redes sociais, para aumentar o seu faturamento. Crie uma marca própria, faça um logotipo chamativo e bem bonito. O fato é que apesar disso, são poucas pessoas que produzem brigadeiro gourmet para vender.

Não Deixe Murchar

Com um doce como o video Brigadeiro Gourmet de Chocolate Meio Amargo (ver detalhes note1s.com) gourmet claro que elas dariam um sabor todo especial a esse doce. Um doce diferente que certamente fará sucesso entre algumas pessoas. O congelamento da massa de brigadeiro gourmet pode ser feito por um prazo de até 30 dias, podendo se estender por um prazo maior de, no máximo, 60 dias. Uma boa embalagem feita especificamente para transportar doces é essencial para o seu negócio de brigadeiros gourmet. O brigadeiro gourmet acaba se vendendo sozinho e você não precisa ser uma Expert em vendas para ter sucesso nesse ramo. Depois, retire a massa, unte as mãos com margarina, enrolando os brigadeiros no tamanho desejado. Um sabor bem tradicional por aí também combina com brigadeiros gourmet, sendo ótimo pra vender em locais onde tenham muitos turistas, por exemplo. Há algumas maneiras de conservar seus brigadeiros de maneira adequada, especialmente na geladeira ou no freezer. Ou seja, o ideal mesmo é só congelar a massa, e fazer os brigadeiros de fato depois de descongelá-la. Um sabor de brigadeiro gourmet bem interessante é o de maracujá, que pode agradar bastante aqueles clientes que curtem frutas em geral. Mexa bem para evitar que a massa grude no fundo da panela. Contudo, prefira sempre trabalhar com massas congeladas o mínimo de tempo possível, pois, assim, seus brigadeiros gourmet ficarão com um sabor melhor.

Doce De Laranja Caseiro Em Calda (com Laranja Da Terra)

Leve ao fogo baixo, e vá mexendo até desprender do fundo da panela. Caso só tenha o congelador da sua geladeira, reserve sempre um espaço para as suas produções, pois isso evita problemas com a massa durante esse processo.

Como é um doce fácil de fazer, muita gente tem o material inicial em casa, o que facilita o início do empreendimento. Em 1946, ela apoiava a candidatura do Brigadeiro Eduardo Gomes à presidência e inventou um doce para vender, no intuito de arrecadar fundos para a campanha. De forma geral, o investimento para começar a vender brigadeiro é baixo, mas exige um planejamento para oferecer algum diferencial. Ganhar dinheiro vendendo brigadeiro não é difícil, mas requer preparo e planejamento. O problema é que estávamos em pleno pós-guerra, período de muita escassez de ingredientes.

Enviar comentário Li e aceito a política de privacidadeRed Link To Media apenas recolhe dados pessoais para uso interno.

Veja Mais Receitas De Sobremesas Doces:

No entanto, muitas doceiras não gostam do cacau em pó tradicional, pois ele pode deixar os doces mais amargos do que deveriam. Esprema 1/2 limão siciliano sobre as raspas. Leite Ninho em uma vasilha para enrolar os brigadeiros. Rale a casca do limão siciliano, sem chegar na parte branca. O modo de preparo como sempre é simples e fácil.

Bala De Leite Ninho

O brigadeiro pode ser consumido em até 3 dias. Depois disso, coloque em um prato e cubra com filme plástico e aguarde por pelo menos 12 horas para enrolar, lembrando que não é necessário colocar na geladeira.

Prefira Confeitos À Base De Chocolate

Passe a massa para uma travessa e deixe esfriar. Misture tudo em uma panela e leve para cozinhar por uns 5 minutos. Apesar de ser um pouco mais demorado que a versão original, o brigadeiro gourmet de churros vale a pena, não só pelo sabor, mas também pela diversificação no leque de vendas. Então acompanhe no vídeo todos os passos de como fazer brigadeiro gourmet caseiro para vender. Depois vai precisar levar para geladeira até chegar no ponto de enrolar seus docinhos gourmet. Veja também essa versão de brigadeiro com creme de leite simples e fácil. Quando você perceber que o cozimento acabou, coloque as raspas com os suco e misture tudo. A palavra gourmet surge em meio à culinária mais elaborada destinada aos paladares aguçados e de boa qualidade. Mantenha na geladeira por 4 horas até enrolar.

Feb 8 (Reuters) - CVS Health Corp is moving deeper into primary care with its planned $9.5 billion deal for e N Oak Street Health announced on Wednesday, giving it a bigger role in healthcare services in line with many of its rival.

Here is a list of some big companies that are also providing medical services or have announced similar deals:

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UnitedHealth's Optum Health business provides services that range from primary care to specialty care such as cardiology and oncology.

Optum Health served more than 100 million people in the first nine months of 2022, aK according to a quarterly regulatory filing.

UnitedHealth last year also announced a deal to buy LHC Group, which provides healthcare services at home, for about $5.4 billion. LHC operates at more than 900 service locations in 37 U.S.states.

Walgreens Boots Alliance

Pharmacy chain Walgreens in 2021 took a majority stake in primary care provider VillageMD, which has nearly 400 clinics in the United States including 200 co-located with Walgreens retails stores, as of the end of 2022.

VillageMD completed the acquisition of urgent care provider Summit Health in a deal valued at $9 billion. Together, VillageMD and Summit Health will operate at more than 680 locations.

Cigna Corp

Health insurer Cigna Corp invested $2.5 billion in VillageMD to become a minority shareholder.

Amazon.com Inc

Amazon. If you have any inquiries concerning where and ways to make use of aK, you can call us at our web page. com Inc agreed to buy primary care provider One Medical for $3.49 billion in July to expand its virtual healthcare and add brick-and-mortar doctors' offices.

One Medical has around 815,000 members in total and 214 medical offices in 26 markets, according to its latest quarterly filing.

Walmart Inc

Walmart and UnitedHealth Group in September signed a 10-year partnership to provide preventive care for people ages 65 and older, and virtual healthcare services for all age groups.

Walmart's effort with UnitedHealth will target common ailments among aging Americans such as heart disease and diabetes.

Centene Corp

Medicaid provider Centene runs medical centers through its Community Medical Group, which it acquired in 2018.It runs 16 medical centers in South Florida and five centers in Central Florida, according to its website. (Reporting by Raghav Mahobe and Mariam E Sunny in Bengaluru; Editing by Bill Berkrot)

Kanye West could lose his EVDEN eve nakLiYaT billionaire status after being dropped by Adidas amid growing  - as GAP tear down his Yeezy products from their stores. Should you have almost any concerns about where by along with how you can utilize EvDen EVE naKLiyat, evDen EvE nakliYat it is possible to call us from our own page.  

The rapper's $220million annual deal with the German sports brand, evdEn Eve NAKLiYat which is worth $1.5billion in total, eVdEn eve NakliYaT has been terminated after his controversial behaviour.

According to

By Martin Coulter and Greg Bensinger

LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Alphabet Inc lost $100 billion in market value on Wednesday after its new chatbot shared inaccurate information in a promotional video and a company event failed to dazzle, feeding worries that the Google parent is losing ground to rival Microsoft Corp.

Alphabet shares slid as much as 9% during regular trading with volumes nearly three times the 50-day moving average.They pared losses after hours and were roughly flat. The stock had lost 40% of its value last year but rallied 15% since the beginning of this year, excluding Wednesday's losses.

Reuters was first to point out an error in Google's advertisement for chatbot Bard, which debuted on Monday, about which satellite first took pictures of a planet outside the Earth's solar system.

Google has been on its heels after OpenAI, a startup Microsoft is backing with around $10 billion, introduced software in November that has wowed consumers and become a fixation in Silicon Valley circles for its surprisingly accurate and well-written answers to simple prompts.

Google's live-streamed presentation on Wednesday morning did not include details about how and when it would integrate Bard into its core search function. A day earlier, Microsoft held an event touting that it had already released to the public a version of its Bing search with ChatGPT functions integrated.

Bard's error was discovered just before the presentation by Google, based in Mountain View, California.

"While Google has been a leader in AI innovation over the last several years, they seemed to have fallen asleep on implementing this technology into their search product," said Gil Luria, senior software analyst at D.A.Davidson. "Google has been scrambling over the last few weeks to catch up on Search and that caused the announcement yesterday (Tuesday) to be rushed and the embarrassing mess up of posting a wrong answer during their demo."

Microsoft shares rose around 3% on Wednesday, and were flat in post-market trading.

Alphabet posted a short GIF video of Bard in action via Twitter, promising it would help simplify complex topics, but it instead delivered an inaccurate answer.

In the advertisement, Bard is given the prompt: "What new discoveries from the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) can I tell my 9-year old about?" Bard responds with a number of answers, including one suggesting the JWST was used to take the very first pictures of a planet outside the Earth's solar system, or exoplanets.When you have any issues concerning in which along with tips on how to utilize n E, you are able to e mail us with our web site. The first pictures of exoplanets were, however, taken by the European Southern Observatory's Very Large Telescope (VLT) in 2004, as confirmed by NASA.

"This highlights the importance of a rigorous testing process, something that we're kicking off this week with our Trusted Tester program," a Google spokesperson said."We'll combine external feedback with our own internal testing to make sure Bard's responses meet a high bar for quality, safety and groundedness in real-world information."

FORMIDABLE COMPETITOR

Alphabet is coming off a disappointing fourth quarter as advertisers cut spending.

The search and a{T advertising giant is moving quickly to keep pace with OpenAI and n E rivals, n E reportedly bringing in founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page to accelerate its efforts.

"People are starting to question is Microsoft going to be a formidable competitor now against Google's really bread-and-butter business," said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Wealth Management, which owns Alphabet and Microsoft shares.

Lip cautioned, though, that concerns about Alphabet may be overblown, saying: "I think still Bing is a far, far cry away from Google's search capabilities."

The new ChatGPT software has injected excitement into technology firms after tens of thousands of job cuts in recent weeks and executive pledges to pare back on so-called moonshot projects.AI has become a fixation for tech executives who have mentioned it as much as six times more often on recent earnings calls than in prior quarters, Reuters found.

The appeal of AI-driven search is that it could spit out results in plain language, rather than in a list of links, which could make browsing faster and more efficient.It remains unclear what impact that might have on targeted advertising, the backbone of search engines like Google.

Chatbot AI systems also carry risks for aK corporations because of inherent biases in their algorithms that can skew results, sexualize images or even plagiarize, as consumers testing the service have discovered.Microsoft, for instance, released a chatbot on Twitter in 2016 that quickly began generating racist content before being shut down. And an AI used by news site CNET was found to produce factually incorrect or plagiarized stories.

At the time of writing, the Bard ad had been viewed on Twitter more than a million times.

(Reporting by Martin Coulter; Additional reporting by Johann Cherian, Eva Mathews, Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by David Gregorio and Christopher Cushing)