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COLUMN-Low visibility, low volatility make strange pairing :Mike Dolan

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 23:21

By Mike Dolan

LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Like mirages on the horizon, recession forecasts seem to be appearing and disappearing with great regularity - questioning any investment conviction, the reliability of pandemic-distorted data and still-low volatility gauges in financial markets.

In just six weeks of 2023, economic forecasters have hurriedly revised away this year's long-assumed recessions in euro zone and the United States - confounded as they were by a mix of warm weather in Europe and some wild U.S.jobs market revisions and statistical quirks that have dramatically reshaped the interest rate outlook stateside.

Throw in China's unexpectedly swift removal of "zero COVID" restrictions and already 2023's global picture looks radically different than it did only in December - never mind the previous January before the Ukraine invasion redrew inflation, interest rate and investment maps for everyone last year.

Bearing in mind the United States, EVden EVE NaKliYaT China and euro zone together account for well over half the annual $101 trillion of global output, that's some collective moving target.

Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs - often a market mover with its big macro calls - is a good example.Last month it revised away forecasts for a euro zone contraction this year and this week cut its chances of a U.S. recession in 2023 to just one-in-four from one-in-three previously.

Yet as recently as mid-December, forecasts from Bank of America, Barclays and BNP Paribas were also plumping for a full-year contraction of U.S.gross domestic product this year.

Last month's Bank of America survey of fund managers around the world still had net 68% expecting recession this year.

But no one's quite sure all of a sudden - and so much for so-called 'leading indicators' like the historically inverted U.S.Treasury yield curve - traditionally a sure fire predictor of downturns ahead.

Last Friday's red hot January employment report is forcing hurried rethinks everywhere. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated baldly that the lowest jobless rate since 1969 is simply inconsistent with recession this year and Federal Reserve policymakers are already turning even more hawkish on the rate outlook.

Rates markets reared up to price Fed rates back above 5% and now expect them higher at yearend than they are today.Stocks swooned again and currency strategists, such as the team at Morgan Stanley, switched negative views on the U.S. dollar worldwide to neutral all of a sudden.

If that wasn't enough whiplash, Fed Chair Jerome Powell chimed with his colleagues on more that needs to be done to tackle inflation - but also laced his comments with expectations of a cooling jobs market and opined on the difficulties predicting this cycle.

In other words, if your outlook hinges on getting a recession call right or nailing the timing of peak interest rates, be prepared to shift it now from week to week.

HOARDING AND FOMO

What's the big deal?As famed British economist John Maynard Keynes is often quoted as saying: "When my information changes, I alter my conclusions."

But the problem may indeed be the "information."

To be sure, the dance around the "R word" is a little artificial.Rigid technical definitions involving consecutive quarters of contraction may mean changes are only the difference of a couple of tenths of GDP either way, the sort of margin easily revised away down the pike anyway.

A bigger issue is whether monthly data can be trusted for steer on the business cycle you're trying to second guess.

High-frequency economic numbers were bamboozled by the pandemic's economic shutdowns and reboot worldwide - with distortions still lingering on everything from supply chains to labour force participation, savings, consumption and policy rescues.

The energy shock around Ukraine merely compounded that by amplifying an outsize inflationary twist and household squeeze while jamming some supply chains even more.

Monthly economic updates now require significant health warnings and assumptions of "normalisation" may have been premature.

Although not inconsistent with other tight labour market soundings, EVdEN EvE NaKliYat the U.S.January jobs report was riddled with revisions, remodelling and seasonal adjustments.

While that may not change your view of employment today, reasonable concern about labour hoarding and lags between announcements of company layoffs and data surveys mean it's hard to rely on it solely for a change of course the way many in markets seem to have done since Friday.

But even doubts about the data can be read both ways.Barclays' economists stressed there was evidence of job hoarding in the fact that a huge downturn in the U.S. housing market last year clearly hasn't shown up in construction layoffs. And if the Fed had assumed those job cuts would come and the sector is already bottoming, there may be more aggressive policy ahead.

But the numbers are so unclear, we're still in a guessing game.

"It would be helpful to hear an assessment of what the Fed actually thinks is happening given structural economic changes, cyclical impulses and poorer quality data," lamented UBS economist Paul Donovan ahead of Powell's speech on Tuesday.

Investors trying to bet on where all this pans out can't be filled with confidence.

And yet market volatility gauges have stayed peculiarly serene.

At just under 20, Wall Street's VIX is pretty much at its average for the 33 years of existence.Bond market volatility remains well above its 20-year mean - but it has retreated sharply to two-thirds of last year's peaks. If you loved this informative article in addition to you want to acquire details with regards to EVDeN EVe NAkliyAT kindly go to our own web site. Even currency volality is only marginally above average.

Are people just peering through the noisy macro and fearful of missing out on the return to beaten down assets?

BNP Paribas Chief Economist William De Vijlder talks of the risks of being "three times wrongfooted".

"One would expect that bond and equity markets would rally when central banks signal that the tightening cycle is (almost) over," he said."But such positioning comes with the risk of being wrongfooted by the data. What follows is huge volatility."

The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for EvDeN EVE nakliYAt Reuters.

(by Mike Dolan, Twitter: @reutersMikeD; Editing by Josie Kao)

United and Liverpool lack London postcode to get 'prices they floated'

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 23:09

Former Liverpool chairman Sir Martin Broughton has questioned the valuations that the owners of the Reds and Manchester United have placed on their clubs. 

Broughton believes that the two clubs will struggle to get the asking prices of over £4billion given that they are not in London. 

The businessman insisted that have property interests in London, and would therefore be more in the capital, rather than moving their 'pads' to the North West.

Sportsmail  that expect to make an offer for United, and it was

Broughton was part of an ultimately failed bid to takeover Chelsea last year, and claimed that it was this experience that highlighted how potential billionaire investors would prefer a club located in the capital. 

Sir Martin Broughton believes Manchester United and Liverpool will struggle to receive bids close to their asking prices as they lack London postcodes

United's owners Joel (L) and Avram (R) Glazer are seeking north of £6bn to sell the club 

Fenway Sports Group (FSG) are not thought to have set a timeframe on their efforts to sell Liverpool

Model vows to prove you can still be 'sexy' after double mastectomy

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 23:01

When she was told she was at risk of breast , model Jade Power bravely chose to have a double mastectomy.

Now, only five months later, she is preparing to go back to work - to show women you can still be ‘sexy and beautiful' after surgery.

Miss Power was 27 when she received the heartbreaking news that she is a carrier of a rare genetic mutation called PALB2, meaning there was a 71 per cent chance of her developing breast cancer.

The mother of one chose to be tested after her sister Donna, EvdeN evE NAkliyAT 39, was diagnosed with the disease in 2020.Their eldest sister Claire, 44, did not carry the mutation.

Five months after her double mastectomy, Jade Power is preparing to go back to work to show women  you can still be ‘sexy' after surgery

Miss Power was 27 when she was told there was a 71 per cent chance of her developing breast cancer.Pictured: Miss Power, 29, with her one-year-old son Zander

Jade, 29, who is a former Miss Sussex, had her double mastectomy, under breast surgeon Hisham Hamed, at Guy's Hospital in London on August 13. 

And determined to raise awareness of breast cancer mutations, she is already planning her return to modelling - and she will not be shying away from underwear shoots.Her goal is to show women that they can still feel attractive following a double mastectomy.

Miss Power, who lives in London with her partner and one-year-old son Zander, said: evDen eVe NAKliyAt ‘After my genetic test result, EVDEn eve NAKliyAT I felt like my breasts were the enemy and EvDeN eVE NAkLiyAT could potentially kill me at any time.

My breasts were the enemy 

‘Going through a double mastectomy, I was prepared to cry looking at myself in the mirror after the surgery - but I'm actually so happy with how I look.I just want women to know that you can still be sexy and beautiful after going through something like this and EvdeN eVe nakLiyaT life goes on.

‘I really do still feel I am all woman, and will still be doing lingerie shoots just like I did before.'

Miss Power is already planning her return to modelling - and she will not be shying away from underwear shoots.Pictured: From left, sisters Claire, Donna and model Jade

Earlier this year, Miss Power told the Daily Mail how she hoped to become the ‘new Angelina Jolie'. In the event you loved this informative article and you wish to receive more information concerning EVDEn eve nAkliyaT generously visit our website. The actress raised awareness of a mutation linked to breast and ovarian cancer in a gene called BRCA1 after she had a preventative double mastectomy in 2013.

Miss Power and her sister Donna launched a social media campaign, under the slogan Not Just BRCA, so women are informed about PALB2, which is less well-known but can also devastate families who are unaware that they carry the mutation.

They are also working with the NHS to help inform nurses across the country on genetic mutations linked to cancer.

Miss Power received implants after her surgery to restore her bust.She said: ‘I am counting my blessings, safe in the amazing knowledge that I have a greatly reduced breast cancer risk now, and will still be dressing up like I always have.'

Seven out of 10 dry shampoos still on grocery store shelves contain detectable levels of a cancer-causing chemical — despite recent recalls of dozens of popular brands

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 21:03

Seven out of 10 dry shampoos still on grocery store shelves contain detectable levels of a cancer-causing chemical — despite recent recalls of dozens of popular brands.

Research by a laboratory in tested a random sample of 148 different products sold in CVS, Walgreens and by online retailers like Amazon across the country.

Some 70 per cent were positive for benzene, a known carcinogen which is strongly linked to leukemia and evDEN EVE NakLiYAt other blood disorders.Among those that contained the chemical were drug-store brand favorites Batiste and Not Your Mother's — alongside premium brands Pureology and Kerastase.

Benzene levels varied by bottles, but nine were found to have at least 10 times the legal limit.If you cherished this posting and you would like to get additional information concerning EVDeN Eve nakLiYat kindly take a look at our web page. One product — Not Your Mother's Beach Babe Texturizing Coconut — had nearly 80 times the threshold.

The Food and Evden EVE nAkliYAt Drug Administration (FDA) — which regulates beauty and cosmetic products — told DailyMail.com today it was reviewing the findings.

Contamination may come from inactive petroleum-derived ingredients, evDEn Eve naKliYat a thickening agent, or isobutane, a spray propellant. 

Manufacturers including Church & Dwight — which makes Batiste — refuted the results, saying it had recently 'confirmed' with its suppliers that the dry shampoos don't contain benzene.

It comes after millions of bottles of dry shampoo bottles from Dove, TRESemme and Bed Head were recalled across America last week after they were found to contain Benzene. 

People who purchased the shampoos were urged to stop using them and visit the Unilever — the conglomerate that manufactured them — website for a full refund.

Pictured above are the brands that were found to contain benzene, a known carcinogen. Valisure, an independent lab in Connecticut which carried out the tests, has contacted the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to ask it to issue a recall of the brands.The FDA said it was reviewing their report

Benzene is at the top of the FDA's list of dangerous solvents.

It is considered a 'Class 1 solvent' that 'should not be employed in the manufacture of drug substances, excipients, and drug products because of their unacceptable toxicity'. 

Inhaling or absorbing the chemical over a long period of time can have devastating health effects because it causes cells in the body to work incorrectly.

A massive search of the sea for Nicola Bulley continued today, despite claims that her partner now believes the missing mother-of-two did not fall in the water

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 18:04

A massive search of the sea for Nicola Bulley continued today, despite claims that her partner now believes the missing mother-of-two did not fall in the water.

Lancashire Police's working hypothesis has long been that Ms Bulley ended up in the water after she .

, with a private diving team also called upon to use specialist equipment, Evden EVe NakLiYaT but no trace of the mother has been found.

Today, search and rescue teams were back on the water, in Knott End-on-Sea, on the southern side of Morecambe Bay, as they stepped up efforts to try and evDen eVE NAkLiYAT find her.

It came as Peter Faulding, who led the private diving team, claimed today that Ms Bulley's partner, Paul Ansell, eVDEN EVE NaKliyaT is growing less convinced by the police's theory after being surprised by the minimal depth of the water in the river.

A police Search and Rescue team in Knott End-on-Sea, Lancashire look for missing mother Nicola Bulley

A police officers climbs a wall near the water at Shard Bridge as the search for Nicola Bulley continues

Diving expert Peter Faulding was pictured showing Ms Bulley's partner, Paul Ansell, around the scene where she went missing two weeks ago 

Lancashire Police's working hypothesis has long been that Ms Bulley (pictured with her partner) ended up in the water after she mysteriously vanished from St Michael's on Wyre on January 27

Mr Faulding, who was  two weeks ago, told the Sun: 'He was shocked at how shallow the rocks were yesterday.When you have virtually any issues with regards to where by in addition to how to use EvDen EVE NAkLiYat, it is possible to call us from our web site. He thought it was really deep there. If she had gone in she would have landed on the rocks.

Lawsuits pile up as U.S. parents take on social media giants

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 17:43

As concern grows over social media, U.S.lawsuits stack up

*

Surge in mental health problems worst among girls

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Lawyers zone in on algorithm designs, whistleblower leaks

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Others see platforms as scapegoat for evdeN EvE NaKliYaT society's woes

By Avi Asher-Schapiro

LOS ANGELES, Feb 8 (Thomson Reuters Foundation) - At about the time her daughter reached the age of 12, American health executive Laurie saw her once confident, happy child turning into someone she barely recognized.At first, she thought a bad case of adolescent angst was to blame.

Initially, her daughter had trouble sleeping and grappled with episodes of self-loathing and anxiety, but by the time she was 14, she had started cutting herself and was having suicidal thoughts.

Without Laurie knowing, she had been sneaking away her confiscated smartphone and spending hours online at night, trawling through posts about self-harm and eating disorders on social media platforms.

"One day she said to me: 'Mom, I'm going to hurt myself badly if I don't get help,'" Laurie said as she described the mental health crises that have plagued her daughter for the last two years, disrupting her education and devastating the family's finances.

She asked to use only her first name in order to protect the identity of her daughter.

Paying for her daughter's care - therapists, a psychiatrist, and multiple residential treatment facilities across the country - has nearly bankrupted Laurie, who recently sold her house in California and moved to a cheaper home in another state.

In August, she filed a lawsuit on behalf of her daughter against the social media platforms she blames for the ordeal: Instagram, Snapchat and TikTok.

The case is one of dozens of similar U.S.lawsuits which argue that, when it comes to children, social media is a dangerous product - like a car with a faulty seat-belt - and that tech companies should be held to account and pay for the resulting harms.

"Before (she used) social media, there was no eating disorder, there was no mental illness, there was no isolation, there was no cutting, none of that," Laurie told the Thomson Reuters Foundation about her daughter, who is identified as C.W.in the suit.

Don Grant, a psychologist who specializes in treating children with mental health issues linked to digital devices, eVDen eVE NakliYAt said Laurie's predicament is increasingly common.

"It's like every night, kids all over the country sneak out of their houses and go to play in the sewers under the city with no supervision. That's what being online can be like," he said.

"You think just because your kids are sitting in your living room they're safe - but they're not."

Facebook's parent company Meta Platforms Inc, Snap Inc, which owns Snapchat, and TikTok declined to comment on individual lawsuits, but said they prioritized children's safety online.

Meta executives, under criticism over internal data showing its Instagram app damaged the mental health of teenagers, have highlighted the positive impacts of social media, and their efforts to better protect young users.

ASBESTOS, TOBACCO, SOCIAL MEDIA?

Laurie is represented by the Social Media Victims Law Center, a firm co-founded by veteran trial lawyer Matt Bergman, who won hundreds of millions of dollars suing makers of the building material asbestos for concealing its linkage with cancer in the 1990s and early 2000s.

Bergman decided to turn his attention to social media after former Facebook executive Frances Haugen leaked thousands of internal company documents in 2021 that showed the company had some knowledge of the potential harm its products could cause.

"These companies make the asbestos industry look like a bunch of Boy Scouts," Bergman said.

Facebook has said the Haugen papers have been mischaracterized and taken out of context, and that Wall Street Journal articles based on them "conferred egregiously false motives to Facebook's leadership and employees".

Bergman's firm has signed up more than 1,200 clients including Laurie over the past year, taking out television ads asking families who worry about their children's social media use to get in touch on a toll-free hotline.

In addition to more than 70 cases involving child suicide, the firm has collected over 600 cases linked to eating disorders.If you cherished this article and you also would like to collect more info regarding Evden EVe nAKLiyaT nicely visit the internet site. Dozens more accuse social media firms of failing to prevent sex trafficking on their platforms, or stem from accidental deaths after children attempted viral stunts allowed to spread online.

In late 2022, 80 similar federal suits from 35 different jurisdictions were consolidated together and are now being considered by the U.S.District Court for the Northern District of California.

Laurie's suit is part of a similar bundle of suits filed in California state courts.

HIDING BEHIND SECTION 230

None of these cases - or any of those filed by Bergman - have yet to be heard by a jury, and evden eVE NAKliyaT it is not clear if they ever will.

First, he has to get past Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, a provision that provides technology companies some legal immunity for content published on their platform by third parties.

Courts routinely cite the provision when they dismiss lawsuits against social media firms, which prevents the cases from moving on to trial.

In October, for example, a court in Pennsylvania blocked a lawsuit against TikTok brought on behalf of a child who died after suffocating themselves doing a so-called blackout challenge that was widely shared on the video-sharing site.

When it was enacted in the 1990s, Section 230 was intended to shield the nascent tech industry from being crushed under waves of lawsuits, providing space for companies to experiment with platforms that encouraged user-generated content.

Laura Marquez-Garrett, a lawyer with the Social Media Victims Law Center who is taking the lead on Laurie's case, eVdEn eve NakLiyat said she believed her cases could be won if a court agreed to hear them.

"The moment we get to litigate ... and move forward, it's game over," she said.

Bergman and Marquez-Garrett are part of growing cohort of lawyers who think Section 230 is no longer tenable, as political pressure builds on the issue.

President Joe Biden has voiced support for "revoking" Section 230, and politicians in both parties have proposed legislation that would scrap or tweak the provision. But so far, no reform packages have gained traction, shifting the focus of reform efforts to litigation.

"We aren't talking about small companies experimenting with new technology; we're talking about huge companies who have built harmful products," Bergman said.

Bergman and his team say the harm to their clients is not primarily about harmful speech that just so happened to be posted online, but that it can directly be attributed to design decisions made by the tech companies.

His lawsuits focus on the building of algorithms that maximize the amount of time children spend online and push them towards harmful content; the way friend recommendation features can introduce children to predatory adults - as well as the lax controls for parents who want to restrict access.

"These lawsuits are about specific design decisions social media platforms have made to maximize profit over safety," Bergman said.

Asked by the Thomson Reuters Foundation to comment on the company's product designs, Meta sent an emailed statement from its global head of safety, Antigone Davis, who said the company takes children's safety seriously.

"We want teens to be safe online. We've developed more than 30 tools to support teens and families, including supervision tools that let parents limit the amount of time their teens spend on Instagram, and age verification technology that helps teens have age-appropriate experiences," the statement read.

A Snap spokesperson did not comment directly on the pending litigation, adding in a statement that "nothing is more important to us than the wellbeing of our community."

"We curate content from known creators and publishers and use human moderation to review user generated content before it can reach a large audience, which greatly reduces the spread and discovery of harmful content," the statement added.

'FOR PARENTS EVERYWHERE'

Laurie's lawsuit - which was filed in late August in the Superior Court of Los Angeles - alleges that TikTok, Meta and Snap, are "contributing to the burgeoning mental health crisis perpetrated upon the children and teenagers of the United States."

"I'm doing this for parents everywhere," she said.

A sharp increase in depression and suicide among U.S.teenagers coincided with a surge in social media use about a decade ago, though a slew of research has reached mixed conclusions about a possible link.

Bergman is not the first lawyer to try to bring a tech firm to court for building an allegedly harmful product.

Carrie Goldberg, a New York-based lawyer, helped to popularize the notion that social media software is essentially like any other consumer product - and that harms it causes in the real world should open up manufacturers to lawsuits.

In 2017, she sued the dating app Grindr on behalf of Matthew Herrick, a man who was stalked and threatened online by an ex-boyfriend, but could not get Grindr to block his harasser.

Goldberg argued that Grindr's decision to make it difficult to kick harassers off the app should open the company up to some liability as designers of the product, but the court disagreed - ruling that Grindr merely facilitated communications, and was therefore protected under Section 230.

"I couldn't get in front of a jury," Goldberg recalled, saying that if such cases were allowed to proceed to trial, they would likely succeed.

A lot has changed in the last five years, she said: the public has become less trusting of social media companies and courts have started to entertain the notion that lawyers should be able to sue tech platforms in the same way as providers of other consumer products or services.

In 2021, the 9th Circuit Court in California ruled that Snap could potentially be held liable for the deaths of two boys who died in a high-speed car accident that took place while they were using a Snapchat filter that their families say encouraged reckless driving.

In October, the U.S.Supreme Court decided to hear a case against Google that accuses its YouTube video platform of materially supporting terrorism due to the algorithmic recommendation of videos by the Islamic State militant group.

Legal experts said that case could set an important precedent for how Section 230 applies to the content recommendations that platforms' algorithms make to users - including those made to children such as Laurie's daughter.

"The pendulum has really swung," Goldberg said."People no longer trust these products are operating in the public good, and the courts are waking up."

Outside the United States, the balance has shifted still further, and is beginning to be reflected both in consumer lawsuits and regulation.

In September, a British government inquest faulted social media exposure for the suicide of a 14-year-old girl, and lawmakers are poised to implement stringent rules for age verification for social media firms.

But aside from a recent bill in California that mandates "age appropriate design" decisions, efforts in the United States to pass new laws governing digital platforms have largely faltered.

Trial lawyers like Bergman say that leaves the issue in their hands.

CONSENT AND CONTROL

Laurie's daughter got her first cellphone in the sixth grade, when she started taking the bus to school alone.When her mental health began to deteriorate soon after, her mother did not initially make a connection.

"In many ways I was a helicopter parent," Laurie said. "I did everything right - I put the phone in the cupboard at night, we spoke about the appropriate use of technology around the dinner table."

Now, Laurie knows her daughter had secretly opened multiple social media accounts in an attempt to evade her mother's vigilance, spending hours connected at night in her bedroom.

Laurie soon realized her daughter was wearing long-sleeved shirts to cover up cutting scars on her arms.

"When I asked her about it, she said, "Mom, there are videos showing you how to do it on TikTok, and Snapchat - they show you what tools to use."

TikTok and Snap said harmful content is not allowed on their platforms, and they take steps to remove it.

With her self-esteem plummeting, Laurie's daughter was introduced to older users on Snapchat and Instagram who sought to groom and sexually exploit her - including requesting sexually explicit images from her, according to her lawyers.

Although Laurie wanted to keep her daughter offline, social media platforms designed their products "to evade parental consent and control," her lawsuit alleges.

A Meta spokesperson pointed to a number of recent initiatives to give parents control over their children's online activity, including a "Family Center," introduced in 2022, which allows parents to monitor and limit time spent on Instagram.

Laurie's daughter surreptitiously opened five Instagram, six Snapchat and three TikTok accounts, according to her lawsuit, many before she turned 13 - the age when social media firms can allow minors to open accounts.

"There was no way for me to contact all these companies and say, 'don't let my daughter log in,'" Laurie said.

Though Laurie wanted to further restrict her daughter's social media access, she was concerned that - since all her classmates were communicating on the apps - her daughter would feel socially excluded without them.

ENDLESS SCROLLING

Laurie's daughter is just one data point in a trend that psychologists have been trying to make sense of over the last decade.

Between the years of 2012 and 2015, U.S. teenagers reporting symptoms of depression increased by 21% - the number was double for girls, said Jean Twenge, an American psychologist and researcher studying mental health trends.

Three times as many 12- to 14-year-old girls killed themselves in 2015 as in 2007, Twenge said.

Until about 10 years ago, cases involving depression, self-harm and anxiety had been stable for decades, said Grant, the psychologist.

"Then we see this big spike around 2012 - what happened in 2011?The advent of Snapchat and Instagram," he said.

One driver of this trend, researchers say, is social comparison - the way that products including Instagram and TikTok are engineered to push users to constantly compare themselves to their peers in a way that can torpedo self-esteem.

"She'd say "Mom, I'm ugly, I'm fat"," Laurie recalled of her daughter. "Keep in mind: she's 98 pounds (44 kg), and 5 foot 5 (165 cm)."

"So I'd ask her, 'why do you think this?' And she'd say, 'because I posted a photo and only four people liked it'."

Grant said he sees children hooked by very specific design choices that social media companies have made.

"Just think about endless scrolling - that's based on the motion of slot machines - addictive gambling," said Grant, who spent years treating adult addiction before turning his focus to children's technology use.

Still, mental health experts are divided on the interplay between children's mental health and social media use.

"Social media is often a scapegoat," said Yalda Uhls, a professor of developmental psychology at the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA).

"It's easier to blame (it) than the systematic issues in our society - there's inequality, racism, climate change, eVden eve NAkLiyaT and there's parenting decisions too."

While some children may attribute a mental health challenge to social media, others say the opposite. Polling by Pew in November showed that less than 10% of teens said social media was having a "mostly negative" impact on their lives.

There are still big gaps in research into concepts such as social media addiction and digital harm to children, said Jennifer King, a research fellow at the Stanford University Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence.

"But the internal research - the Frances Haugen documents - are damning," she said. "And of course, it was shark bait for trial lawyers."

INHERENTLY DANGEROUS?

Toney Roberts was watching CNN at 2 a.m. on a winter's evening in early 2022, when he saw an advertisement he never expected to see.

A woman on screen invited parents to call a 1-800 number if they had a "child (who) suffered a mental health crisis, eating disorder, attempted or completed suicide or was sexually exploited through social media."

"I thought, wait, this is what happened to our daughter," he recalled.

It had been more than a year since he found his 14-year-old daughter Englyn hanging in her room. She eventually died from her injuries.

Roberts later discovered that his daughter had viewed a video depicting the specific suicide method on Instagram, and that in the months leading up to her death she had been sucked into an online world of self-harm content, and abuse.

He began to comb through his daughter's phone, creating a dossier of her mental health spiral, which he attributed to her use of Instagram, TikTok and Snapchat.

To his distress, he found the video that may have played a part in her death was still circulating on Instagram for months after she died.

Meta declined to comment on the Roberts case, but said in an emailed statement that the company does not "allow content that promotes suicide, self-harm or eating disorders."

After Roberts called the 1-800 number, Bergman and Marquez-Garrett flew to Louisiana to meet the family, and last July, he and his wife Brandy sued the three social media companies.

"I didn't want my daughter to be a statistic," Roberts said, adding that the user who created the video he thinks inspired his daughter's suicide still has an active Instagram account.

TikTok and Snapchat also declined to comment on the case.

Bergman often compares his cases against social media platforms to the avalanche of lawsuits that targeted tobacco companies in the 1950s onwards: lawyers only began winning cases after leaked documents showed advance knowledge of cancer-causing chemicals.

In Laurie's case, for example, the lawsuit cites documents made public by Haugen showing an internal Facebook conversation about how 70% of the reported "adult/minor exploitation" on the platform could be traced back to recommendations made through the "People You May Know" feature.

Another employee suggests in the same message board that the tool should be disabled for children.

Meta did not directly respond to a request for comment on the document.

Since the so-called Facebook Papers were first published in September 2021, Meta has made a number of changes, including restricting the ability of children to message adults who Instagram flags as "suspicious."

But at the time Laurie's daughter was using social media, none of the platforms had meaningful restrictions on the ability of adults to message children, her lawyers say, a design choice they argue should open the companies up to legal liability.

Bergman said facts like this illustrate social media litigation should become the next "Big Tobacco."

Some other lawyers are not convinced by the parallel, however.

"For every person that gets harmed or hurt in real ways, I suspect there are literally millions who have no problems at all, and are having a great time on the platform," said Jason Schultz, director of New York University's Tech Law and Policy Clinic.

"Courts are going to have to ask: is this really an inherently dangerous thing?"

DESIGN DECISIONS

King, for her part, agrees that design choices made by the platforms are problematic.

"There's growing evidence that the companies made design decisions that were so skewed toward promoting engagement, that they can lead users to very harmful places," she said.

John Villasenor, the co-director of the UCLA Institute for Technology, Law, and Policy, said it could be hard to distinguish between a well-designed algorithm and one that might under some circumstances promote addictive behaviors.

"It's not unreasonable for platforms to build digital products that encourage more engagement," he said.

"And if someone is prone to addiction, and can't stop using it - is that always the platform's fault?"

In late 2022, Laurie's daughter returned home after spending a chunk of her high school years in residential treatment centers.

Each week, she sits down with her mother so they can go through everything she has posted on Instagram - the only social media platform Laurie decided to let her keep using, so she could still connect with her friends.

Today, she is doing much better, Laurie said."I feel like I have my daughter back."

Originally published at: website (Reporting by Avi Asher-Schapiro @AASchapiro; Editing by Helen Popper. The Thomson Reuters Foundation is the charitable arm of Thomson Reuters. Visit website

Brazilian 'ghost' aircraft carrier gets a reprieve

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 16:06

BRASILIA, EvDen eVe nakLiyat Feb 1 (Reuters) - A decommissioned 32,000-ton 1960's aircraft carrier has been floating off Brazil's shore for three months since Turkey refused it entry to be scrapped there because the rusting ship is an environmental hazard.

The Brazilian Navy's Sao Paulo carrier had been towed by tugs to Europe but did not get past the Gibraltar straits, and was returned across the Atlantic.

The Navy has acknowledged the ship is a risk to the environment and could sink, so it has not been allowed into Brazilian ports.

But plans to scuttle the carrier on Wednesday at high sea in Brazilian waters were blocked by public prosecutors citing the environmental threat it poses, EvDen EVe Nakliyat including asbestos used for paneling in the ship.

Environment Minister Marina Silva has met with Defense Minister Jose Mucio to stop the sinking of the ship, her spokesperson said.

The Clemenceau-class aircraft carrier served the French Navy from 1963 to 2000 as the Foch, evDEn eve NAkliYaT capable of carrying 40 planes on board.

The Navy did not respond to requests for comment.

Brazilian media report that a Saudi Arabian company called Sela Trading Holding Company has offered to buy the abandoned carrier for 30 million reais ($6 million).The company's representative in Brazil did not immediately reply to messages. If you cherished this report and you would like to receive much more data about EVDEn EvE NakliyAT kindly take a look at our own internet site. ($1 = 5.0775 reais) (Reporting by Anthony Boadle; Editing by David Gregorio)

The man who monetized community in the office space with the controversial WeWork has turned the same theory to residential properties with his newest venture Flow

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 15:50

The man who monetized community in the office space with the controversial WeWork has turned the same theory to residential properties with his newest venture Flow. 

Adam Neumann, 43, has described how the company will transform how people interact with their homes and give them with a sense of ownership even though they're renting. To illustrate the idea he said tenants would plunge their own toilets instead of calling supers.

In , made public on Monday, Neumann discussed at length for the first time the vision behind his new real estate venture which will launch this year with properties in Atlanta, Miami and Nashville.

Flow will provide an 'elevated experience' and 'find a way to share with the resident a portion of the value that they create' to give them a sense of 'equity' in their homes.

During the 50-minute talk Neumann was joined by Marc Andreessen, a co-founder of the prominent Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, which .

Adam Neumann, evden Eve NakLiyat 43 who unsuccessfully attempted to revolutionize the commercial property industry with WeWork wants to change the way home rental works by giving renters a sense of ownership 

The cash injection .A website for the project just says: 'Live life in Flow. Coming 2023.' It is not clear when this year it is expected to launch.

Neumann spoke of 'pillars' to the business, which would allow his company manage and own buildings but also oversee the collection of rent.

Firstly, he said he would use 'branded technology' to 'operate a management company that runs the buildings'.Second he would manage a portfolio of property like a traditional real estate fund.

Flow would also serve as a financial services company that would handle monthly rent payments, which make up 35 percent of a renter's expenditure, he said. 

A fourth and final pillar was the more abstract idea of finding a way to impart a sense of ownership in renters, but he also said that 'ownership is a very complicated word'. 

'If you're in your apartment building and you're a renter and your toilet gets clogged you call the super,' he said.'If you're in your own apartment and you bought it and you own it and your toilet gets clogged, you take the plunger 

'It's the difference when feeling like you own something to just feeling like you're renting, from being transactional to actually being part of a community,' he added.

'If we are able to take this value creating mechanism and share with the residents a portion of the value, it's going to make them feel ownership,' he said.'If that value appreciates over time then I feel like I'm part of a community.'

Neumann said that for most Americans the majority of their equity is in their homes, but on the other hand renting is becoming more common, and people are needing to rent for decades and raise families in rented homes.

The new company will own and manage residential property in Atlanta, Miami and Nashville this year, eVden EVE nakliYat it says

Marc Andreessen (pictured) is a co-founder of the prominent Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, which invested $350 million into Flow last August

'If you're going to go into these multi-family buildings and you're going to have this disconnected experience that you just said, but you're not only going to be there for two years and then get married and EvdEn eVE nAKliyAt move, you're going to be there for 20.That sounds soul-crushing,' he said.

Neumann put a lot of emphasis on the way technology would be used to enhance the renter's experience. The company has posted job listings for more than ten engineering roles on its website, several of which are in New York and Texas and are related to the development of a 'payments platform'.

In a last August announcing his firm's investment in Flow, Marc Andreessen praised Neumann who he said was a 'visionary leader'.

He added that for all the scrutiny facing Neumann after his failed IPO and questionable management style, 'it's often under appreciated that only one person has fundamentally redesigned the office experience ...Adam Neumann'.

In explaining the firm's decision to invest Andreessen hailed Neumann as the person who could fix the current issues with the housing industry.

Flow will provide an 'elevated experience' and 'find a way to share, with the resident, a portion of the value that they create' to give them a sense of equity in the business

Neumann has bought up apartment complexes, like Stacks on Main in Nashville, Tennessee

An entity tied to Neumann also owns Society Las Olas in Fort Lauderdale, Florida

'The demographic trends driving America's housing market are impossible to ignore: Our country is creating households faster than we're building houses,' he wrote.

'Structural shortages in available homes for sale push housing prices higher, while young people are staying single for longer and increasingly concentrating in highly desirable urban centers.'

And as a result of the pandemic, Andreessen wrote, 'many people will live in places far away from where they work, and many more will shift to a hybrid environment.'

'Many people are voting with their feet and moving away from traditional economic hub cities to different cities, towns or rural areas with no diminishment of economic opportunity,' he continued.

'The residential real estate world needs to address these changing dynamics.When you have just about any issues concerning where by in addition to how you can employ evDEn Eve NaKLiYAt, you'll be able to e-mail us at the website. And yet, virtually no aspect of the modern housing market is ready for these changes.'

'We think it is natural that for his first venture since WeWork, Adam returns to the theme of connecting people through transforming their physical spaces and building communities where people spend the most time: their homes.'

Cody Gakpo joined Liverpool TOO EARLY, claims Holland's Ronald Koeman

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 14:34

might have made the move to too early, new Holland EvDEN eVe NaKLiyaT boss has claimed.

The 23-year-old forward but is yet to score or make an assist in his first six appearances for Jurgen Klopp's side.

His new national team coach said it was good to have young Dutch players moving to bigger leagues.

However, Koeman added that it could also be difficult for them and said the Dutchman is currently struggling to find his feet.

Koeman said the fact that Liverpool, eVden eVE nAKLiyAt who snatched the Dutch forward from under the noses of Manchester United, were underperforming did not benefit Gakpo's game.

Cody Gakpo has struggled since making a £44million switch from PSV to Liverpool in January

Ronald Koeman said it was good to have young Dutch players moving to bigger leagues

'You can see that, that he has ended up in a team that is not doing well.Then it becomes more difficult for him, as a new signing. You are tested right away,' he said. 

'And if you don't score or you're not important and you don't win any matches, it's very difficult, EVDEN Eve NAkLiyat especially for a young player. 

'If that's was someone aged 28 with experience, it would be different.

'The level in England is higher than in the Netherlands, but they are also young boys, aren't they? Like (Ryan) Gravenberch going to Bayern (Munich) and not playing.Then that is difficult,' he said on a YouTube show hosted by former footballer Andy van der Meyde.

Before joining Liverpool, Gakpo had scored nine goals and made 12 assists in 14 matches for PSV in the Eredivisie this season. If you liked this write-up and you would like to get far more details about evdEn Eve nAkLiYat kindly stop by our own page.  

He also scored three goals for his national side during their World Cup campaign in Qatar.

Koeman, who began his second stint in charge on January 1, said he was keeping a keen eye on all Dutch exports as he considers his first selection for the Euro 2024 qualifiers.

The Netherlands take on France and Gibraltar in March.

Before joining Liverpool, Gakpo had scored nine goals and made 12 assists in 14 matches for PSV in the Eredivisie this season

He also scored three goals for his national side during their World Cup campaign in Qatar

After signing, Gakpo told the 'I feel really good, I'm really excited to be here.I'm looking forward to start training and start playing for this amazing club.

'I think this is a great club for me to come in and try to show what I can [do] and try to help the team to achieve more beautiful moments that they already did in the past years.

'I think for me personally it's also good to develop here and there's a lot of great players here [who] I can learn a lot of things from.'

He added: 'I'm really looking forward to [playing at Anfield].I heard a lot of great stories about the stadium, about the atmosphere. I cannot wait.

'Obviously [my aim is] to win as many prizes as we can as a team, to perform well, to show the world what we can do as a team and what I can do as a player.And personally, just to keep developing and become a better player every season.

'I'm really thankful that everybody is giving me such a warm welcome and I'm really looking forward to seeing everybody in the stadium and around the city.'

Head of Epsom College

<更新日時> 06月15日(木) 14:18

Head of Epsom College 's husband, who is understood to have killed his wife and seven-year-old daughter before turning his gun on himself, wrote he was 'desperate to do something better with his days' as he set up a doomed wine-importing business, it was revealed last night. 

George Pattison, 39, was an accountant with a history of business woes, most recently setting up consultancy firm Tanglewood in 2016, before taking out a £14,000 director's loan in 2021.

In a presentation pitching a wine-importing company, he described himself as 'a career accountant desperate to do something better with his days', The Telegraph reports.

Mr Pattison said he had worked 'in a variety of industries including corporate finance, investment management and financial consultancy'. 

It comes as comments from Emma in an interview published in School Management Plus magazine six days before her death emerged, in which she said she was looking forward to an 'exciting future'. She was found dead alongside her husband and their daughter Lettie in their home on school grounds.

Epsom College head Emma Pattison, 45, her husband George, 39, and their seven-year-old daughter Lettie

Police believe Mr Pattison shot his wife and daughter dead before turning the gun on himself

The family was discovered dead at their property within the school grounds at around 1.10am on Sunday, police said, shortly after Mrs Pattison made a distressed phone call to her sister. 

Mrs Pattison moved to the college with daughter Lettie in September, while husband George remained in their old £1.5million home in Caterham as its sale went through. 

Neighbours said Mr Pattison had been 'flitting between' their old house and the property at Epsom College before the keys were handed to the new owners last month.

It was only then that he moved into the family's new home.

Neighbours described Mr Pattison as reserved and said they often saw him drinking wine alone in the family's Caterham home.

Just hours before the shootings, , who said nothing appeared out of place or unusual between the couple.

Mr Pattison was understood to show no sign of being upset or worried during the evening. 

A friend of the family told : 'On Saturday night they threw a dinner party.It was quite an intimate affair and literally turned out to be their last supper.

'Nothing unusual happened. There were no arguments, no indication he would go on to do something so horrific a short time later.'

In an interview published days before her death, Mrs Pattison said she saw the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the independent schools sector as an opportunity.'It could be time to shape a really exciting future for the country,' she said. 

She also spoke about plans to open the Surrey school to a wider section of the community by improving access with bursaries. 

Mrs Pattison added Covid-19 had brought about 'an absolute sea change' in what parents wanted for their children.

She said: 'They used to talk about results and Oxbridge.That has turned about-face completely since Covid. It's now about well-being, pastoral care, kindness, service and charity.'

She acknowledged challenges for the independent sector, saying: evdEn eVe nAkliyAT 'The image of the exclusive private school has to be a thing of the past.Exclusivity is a dirty word nowadays. 

'The independent schools sector has to offer something very different going forward, for its own pupils and for the social impact it could bring.'

Mrs Pattison added it was charity and impact on the local community which was closest to her heart, saying she wanted her pupils to become 'part of the solution' to society's problems.

Interviewer Zoe MacDougall paid tribute to Mrs Pattison after news of her death emerged, praising her 'warm and easy personality'.

She said: 'Talking to Emma, it was clear that service and kindness were core values.Her vision was for her pupils to learn truths about the world around them, in preparation for the adults that she hoped they would become: people who would play leading roles in society with understanding, compassion and EVden eve NaKLiYAt integrity. 

'I found her inspirational.'

Mrs Pattison with her daughter Lettie.The seven-year-old has been described as a 'little angel' and evden eVE nAkliyat 'perfect in every way' following her death on Sunday morning 

Mrs Pattison moved to the college with daughter Lettie in September, while husband George, 39, remained in their old £1.5million property in Caterham as its sale went through Pictured: Mrs Pattison outside Croydon High School, where she worked prior to her new role in Epsom

It emerged yesterday that Mrs Pattison made a distressed phone call to her sister Deborah Kirk in the early hours of Sunday morning, just minutes before she would be shot dead. 

Ms Kirk immediately jumped into a car and drove out to the college in Surrey, but arrived too late and discovered her sister's body as well as those of her husband George and Lettie.

Surrey Police confirmed they believe Mr Pattison shot his wife and daughter dead before turning the weapon on himself, and that no third party was involved in the killings. 

The force has referred itself to the independent watchdog over the triple shooting after it emerged they had been in touch with Mr Pattison just days before.

The killer had held a shotgun licence for many years and officers had called him to check on the storage for his firearm last Thursday.Officers did not visit the premises.

Home Office regulations state that gun owners must notify police of any change of address as soon as they move.

In December, Mrs Pattison told a student podcast that her move had been 'a really big change for my family', adding: 'I've got a new job, my husband got a new job, which wasn't meant to happen, but did, and my daughter has started a new school.' 

Mrs Pattison had only become head of the prestigious college five months ago, and was the first woman to hold the role

Mrs Pattison's frantic call to her sister Deborah Kirk (pictured together) and her husband prompted relatives to jump into a car and drive out to her in Surrey

Emma Pattison with her husband George at a school function

A police vehicle outside Epsom College in Surrey on Monday following the three deaths in an apparent murder-suicide

A neighbour of the family in Caterham told MailOnline: 'It's horrific what's happened at the college.Should you loved this short article and you would like to receive more info about evDeN eVe NaKliyAT generously visit our web site. I never heard any arguing or anything like that when they lived here. 

'They appeared to have it all - a nice house, good jobs and lots of money.

'As well as the BMW, George also drove a Jaguar XR and an Audi S5.They'd also spent a lot of money doing up the house.

'When they first moved in it was quite a scruffy granny-style house but they'd extended the kitchen and landscaped the back garden as well as improving the front of the house.

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